Focus peggioramento Sud Italia: tutte le zone a rischio.

Dopo la settimana passata a commentare la neve ed il maltempo al Nord, vorremmo ora soffermarci sulle precipitazioni previste al Sud, dato che questa sarà la zona più colpita dal peggioramento odierno.

Analizziamo innanzitutto le ore che porteranno il peggioramento sul Sud-Italia, ovvero il periodo tra le 6 e le 12. In queste zone sta già piovendo da stanotte, in particolare nel Cosentino sono già stati raggiunti i 60-70 mm di accumulo.

Precipitazioni fino a mezzogiorno

Precipitazioni fino a mezzogiorno

Come si vede dalla mappa, le zone più colpite saranno proprio il Cosentino, anche a confine con la provincia di Matera ed il Crotonese (zone colorate in rosso). Piogge abbondanti cadranno comunque su tutto il resto del Sud, in particolare sulla Sicilia Orientale, sulla Calabria e sulla Basilicata. Facciamo un passo avanti e vediamo come si evolverà il maltempo fino alle 18 di oggi pomeriggio.

Precipitazioni previste dalle 12 alle 18.

Precipitazioni previste dalle 12 alle 18.

Le piogge non insisteranno più su Basilicata e Campania, ma purtroppo Calabria e Sicilia vedranno accumuli ingenti nelle stesse zone colpite dal maltempo in mattinata. Come si vede dalla nostra grafica, le province di Catanzaro, Reggio Calabria, Crotone, Cosenza, Messina e Catania continueranno ad essere interessate da accumuli che potranno raggiungere i 60 mm in questo lasso temporale.

Spostandoci verso la mezzanotte si intravede un miglioramento solo sulla parte occidentale. Nella mappa seguente, che mostra gli accumuli previsti tra le 18 e la mezzanotte, si nota bene la concentrazione delle precipitazioni nelle zone già interessate dal maltempo durante la giornata. Le piogge insisteranno sulle province di Reggio Calabria, Crotone e Catanzaro.

rain_36_sud

Se consideriamo la somma degli accumuli previsti da queste 3 mappe, che dividono la giornata in 3 macro intervalli temporali, arriviamo a dei risultati che impongono prudenza e attenzione.

  • Fino a 170 mm sul Crotonese,
  • Fino a 150 mm tra le province di Reggio Calabria e Catanzaro,
  • Fino a 140 mm al confine tra Calabria e Basilicata,
  • Fino a 80 mm sulla parte orientale della Sicilia: localmente le precipitazioni potranno raggiungere i 150 mm, soprattutto nelle zone sopravento all’Etna.,
  • Fino a 70 mm in Basilicata, Campania  e parte della Puglia, che comunque vedranno un miglioramento verso sera.

Situazione molto delicata che dovrà essere monitorata in tempo reale. Per questo vi invitiamo a rimanere aggiornati sulla situazione sia dal nostro sito, sia dagli organi preposti per la comunicazione delle allerte (Protezione Civile).

Articolo di Guido Cioni del 01 Febbraio 2014 alle ore 10:05

Altri articoli di approfondimento

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